Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

The Atlanta Braves (34-27) and Washington Nationals (23-39) swing into a 3-game series in the national’s capital. Monday’s series opener is slated for a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Braves vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Washington leads 2-1.

The Braves are undefeated since the calendar flipped to June. Atlanta has not lost in 11 June games and has banged out a .283/.340/.538 (.877 OPS) slash line in the process. The club hit 4 home runs Sunday vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates and has clubbed multiple round-trippers in 7 of the 11 straight wins.

The Nationals returned from a rough 3-7 road trip Friday, but they were solid in taking 2 of 3 from the Milwaukee Brewers over the weekend. Washington is 6-2 over its last 8 games at home.

Braves at Nationals projected starters

RHP Ian Anderson vs. RHP Josiah Gray

Anderson (5-3, 4.53 ERA) has logged a 1.39 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 through 59 2/3 IP in 11 starts.

  • His walk and HR rates are higher than they were when he clocked a 3.25 ERA in 30 starts in 2020-21. His ground ball rate is also lower.
  • Posted a 6.62 ERA, 1.53 WHIP in 3 starts May 22-June 2, but allowed just 2 R in 6 IP in his last effort June 8 vs. Oakland.

Gray (6-4, 4.33 ERA) has made 12 starts for the Nats. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 62 1/3 IP.

  • Is a fly-ball pitcher (24.2% ground-ball rate) and has been hurt by a 17.3% of fly balls leaving the yard (around 11% is average).
  • The 2nd-year player has struggled in home games (6.59 ERA in 72 1/3 IP).

Braves at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 9:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Braves -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Nationals +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
  • Run line (RL): Braves -1.5 (+102) | Nationals +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Braves at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Nationals 4, Braves 3

Money line

Gray has yielded just 2 ER in his last 16 IP. He’s logged a 2.25 ERA against these Braves across a trio of starts the last 2 seasons.

Atlanta has gone on just 4 road trips so far this season. In the openers, they are 1-3 and have been outscored 22-9.

BACK WASHINGTON (+122).

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Run line/Against the spread

The price here is solid. Bettors who want a fade with an asterisk in going against a hot streak can leverage WASHINGTON +1.5 (-125).

Over/Under

The O/U offering makes for the strongest wagering opportunity in this matchup. Both clubs having underlying pitching numbers that spell better days ahead. That’s especially true for the bullpens.

Washington’s offense has struggled mightily at home. Atlanta’s has struggled in road-trip openers.

BACK THE UNDER 9.5 (-105).

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